Europa League 1/32
Global 3-4
Olympique Marseille vs Mladá Boleslav analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PSG
1 - 3
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
LMU
61%
23%
17%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
YOB
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
AUX
0 - 3
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mladá Boleslav
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PRI
1 - 2
MBO
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MBO
3 - 0
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
MBO
1 - 1
GAL
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
JAB
0 - 2
MBO
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
MBO
0 - 0
VKP
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |