Olympique Marseille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
SOC
2 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
FCP
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ASS
1 - 0
MAR
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
LIV
0 - 1
MAR
68%
21%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 1
MET
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
STR
41%
28%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
GIR
1 - 2
MET
66%
23%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 2
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |