Olympique Marseille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 1
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 1
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
4 - 0
LHA
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
LIL
3 - 1
MET
62%
24%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MET
1 - 4
NAN
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
STR
2 - 1
MET
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
MET
0 - 1
ASS
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
DRA
0 - 4
MET
13%
22%
65%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |