Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
TWE
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
MAR
40%
28%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
GIR
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 0
MAR
30%
29%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
LMU
0 - 0
LIL
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
LMU
1 - 2
NIC
42%
29%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TFC
2 - 0
LMU
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
LMU
0 - 2
NAN
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LHA
0 - 1
LMU
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |