Olympique Marseille vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 2
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 4
LIV
16%
22%
61%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
BJK
2 - 1
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LMU
0 - 0
LOR
56%
25%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
LEN
1 - 3
LMU
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 1
ASN
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
AUX
3 - 0
LMU
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
LMU
3 - 2
ASS
46%
28%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |