Olympique Marseille vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
5 - 1
LHA
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 4
MAR
15%
21%
63%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
43%
26%
30%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 2
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
AUX
0 - 0
LIL
21%
26%
53%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
1 - 1
NAN
79%
15%
6%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 1
LIL
13%
23%
65%
|
93 | 66 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
43%
26%
30%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 2
STR
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |