Olympique Marseille vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 2
MAR
16%
23%
61%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAL
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 2
MAR
22%
25%
52%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
BRE
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LYO
3 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 2
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 2
LIL
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 0
SOC
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
57%
22%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 2
LIL
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |