Olympique Marseille vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
NIC
0 - 0
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
GIR
1 - 0
MAR
49%
27%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
REN
4 - 2
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1997 |
LIL
0 - 0
GIR
29%
27%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
GUI
1 - 0
LIL
49%
28%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 2
BAS
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
SPO
2 - 1
LIL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |