Olympique Marseille vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
MET
3 - 2
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
GIR
2 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
MAR
3 - 1
NIC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
STR
1 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
LIL
1 - 0
LYO
62%
21%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
NAN
1 - 0
LIL
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
LIL
3 - 0
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
MON
0 - 1
LIL
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
BAS
4 - 0
LIL
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |