Olympique Marseille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
MAR
2 - 0
LHA
70%
19%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
MPL
0 - 1
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
MET
62%
23%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1998 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1998 |
AUX
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
ASN
0 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
42%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
LEN
1 - 1
SOC
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 1
LEN
24%
27%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
LEN
1 - 3
DYN
48%
24%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1998 |
LEN
3 - 0
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |