Olympique Marseille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1987 |
NIC
2 - 1
MAR
43%
28%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
MAR
3 - 2
ASN
76%
15%
8%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
NAN
0 - 2
MAR
57%
25%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
MAR
1 - 1
LHA
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
GIR
3 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1987 |
PSG
3 - 1
LEN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1987 |
LEN
0 - 0
SOC
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
LHA
0 - 0
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1987 |
LEN
0 - 0
ASN
68%
20%
13%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1987 |
NAN
1 - 0
LEN
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |