Olympique Marseille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1977 |
FCR
0 - 2
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
STL
2 - 1
MAR
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
MAR
3 - 0
ASS
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
TRO
0 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 1
NÎM
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
LEN
2 - 3
LYO
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1977 |
LEN
2 - 0
MAG
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
STR
3 - 0
LEN
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
LEN
2 - 0
GIR
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
ASN
0 - 0
LEN
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |