Olympique Marseille vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 3
RAC
24%
22%
54%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 0
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
TFC
3 - 1
MAR
63%
20%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
GRE
0 - 3
MAR
46%
24%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 3
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
LEN
2 - 2
NIC
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
SED
2 - 1
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
LEN
2 - 1
NÎM
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
LEN
2 - 1
SFP
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
ANG
2 - 2
LEN
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |