Champions League Last 16
Global 8-4
Olympique Marseille vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
ASN
2 - 0
MAR
24%
29%
48%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
MAR
3 - 1
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
LPO
3 - 2
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
SOC
2 - 1
MAR
28%
29%
43%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASS
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
LPO
1 - 1
WAR
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
GKS
1 - 1
LPO
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
LPO
3 - 2
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
LPO
0 - 0
WIS
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
LPO
6 - 0
IGL
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |