Champions League 1/16
Global 3-2
Olympique Marseille vs Górnik Zabrze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1971 |
MAR
6 - 0
RED
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
GIR
0 - 2
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 1
ANG
69%
17%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1971 |
REN
2 - 2
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
GÓR
2 - 1
SZO
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
ZAG
1 - 0
GÓR
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
GÓR
1 - 0
LKS
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
ODR
1 - 0
GÓR
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
GÓR
1 - 0
ZAG
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |