Champions League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 2-2
Olympique Marseille vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 3
MAR
10%
19%
70%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
LYO
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
76%
17%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
REN
1 - 2
MAR
24%
25%
50%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 3
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
NOV
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
4 - 0
INT
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
INT
4 - 4
PAL
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 0
INT
17%
24%
60%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |