Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 3
MAR
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RED
0 - 5
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 3
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOR
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
LHA
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
LHA
0 - 0
LEN
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
LHA
4 - 3
LOR
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
REI
2 - 1
LHA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LHA
2 - 2
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |