Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
STR
0 - 1
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
DBU
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
MAR
31%
29%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
CHA
3 - 0
LHA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
IST
1 - 1
LHA
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
LHA
2 - 2
BAS
30%
29%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
FCG
1 - 0
LHA
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
LHA
2 - 0
CAE
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |