Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Olympique Marseille vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
MAR
3 - 1
LHA
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
LEN
2 - 4
MAR
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
STL
0 - 2
MAR
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOK
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUX
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
HKS
1 - 0
AAB
92%
5%
3%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
AAB
1 - 0
HKS
3%
28%
69%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
HKS
0 - 0
DUN
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
DUN
2 - 0
HKS
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
BOT
2 - 2
HKS
59%
20%
21%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |