Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Olympique Marseille vs FK Dukla Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
MET
2 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1969 |
MAR
1 - 0
AJA
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
DUK
1 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
FCR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
MAR
2 - 3
ASS
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FK Dukla Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
DUK
1 - 0
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1967 |
DUK
0 - 0
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
CEL
3 - 1
DUK
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1967 |
DUK
2 - 1
AJA
35%
23%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1967 |
AJA
1 - 1
DUK
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |