Europa League 1/16
Global 1-0
Olympique Marseille vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAN
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
LMU
0 - 0
MAR
31%
29%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
AJA
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
MPL
0 - 1
MAR
36%
28%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
SOC
2 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
DNI
1 - 1
DZG
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
TAV
1 - 2
DNI
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
DNI
4 - 1
TAV
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
DNI
0 - 0
MEZ
68%
22%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
DZG
0 - 2
DNI
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |