Olympique Marseille vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
NIC
1 - 0
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
REN
70%
19%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MAR
4 - 0
MPL
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 3
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TFC
0 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
56%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
78%
15%
8%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHL
17%
23%
61%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
CHL
2 - 1
ZIL
84%
11%
4%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHL
9%
20%
71%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CHL
0 - 3
SUN
86%
10%
4%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |