Olympique Marseille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
NAN
2 - 2
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
AJA
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
STR
1 - 0
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
PSG
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
STR
2 - 1
CAE
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
NIC
0 - 1
CAE
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 1
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
SOC
1 - 0
CAE
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |