Olympique Marseille vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
STR
2 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUI
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 0
GIR
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIC
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 0
GIR
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 0
CAE
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 2
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
BAS
4 - 2
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 0
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |