Olympique Marseille vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
LEN
0 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
MAR
0 - 0
MPL
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
NAN
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1997 |
STR
2 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
MAR
4 - 0
AUX
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1997 |
CAN
2 - 2
CHA
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAS
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1997 |
MET
2 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
CHA
0 - 2
MON
17%
23%
61%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1997 |
CHA
1 - 0
GIR
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |