Olympique Marseille vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 1
PER
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1995 |
DUN
2 - 2
MAR
12%
25%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
MAR
3 - 0
RED
84%
11%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASB
95%
4%
1%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
10%
24%
66%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
FCM
0 - 0
CHA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1995 |
CHA
0 - 0
ANG
63%
22%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
FCG
2 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
CHA
4 - 1
POI
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
CHA
2 - 1
ASB
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |