Olympique Marseille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 5
MAR
18%
26%
56%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ASN
0 - 0
MAR
26%
26%
49%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
4 - 0
ASS
57%
24%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 0
LOR
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
PSG
5 - 0
BAS
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
REN
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
BAS
0 - 0
LYO
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |