Olympique Marseille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
REN
1 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
TFC
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SOC
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
MET
62%
23%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
MAR
31%
30%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 4
GIR
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LYO
0 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |