Olympique Marseille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
LEN
0 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
TRO
0 - 0
MAR
35%
29%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUI
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MPL
1 - 2
MAR
33%
29%
38%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 2
MPL
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
GUI
3 - 0
BAS
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
TRO
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
BAS
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |