Olympique Marseille vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
11.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 2
LYO
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
MET
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
SOC
1 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
MAR
5 - 2
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 2
NAN
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 0
GIR
37%
25%
39%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1971 |
NAN
3 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 1
ANG
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
BAS
4 - 0
SED
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
ASN
3 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -2 |