Olympique Marseille vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
5º
2º
23
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 42 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
79% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
7% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 3
PSG
28%
23%
50%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MPL
0 - 5
MAR
24%
23%
52%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
ANG
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AUX
4 - 0
REN
22%
23%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 2
AUX
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AUX
2 - 1
REI
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
AUX
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AUX
3 - 0
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |