Olympique Marseille vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
MAR
0 - 0
LHA
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1996 |
PSG
0 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 1
LEN
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
CAN
0 - 0
MAR
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 1
GIR
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 1
GLA
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1996 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
AUX
1 - 2
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 2
AUX
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |