Olympique Marseille vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
FCM
1 - 2
MAR
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1989 |
AEK
1 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1989 |
MAR
2 - 1
PSG
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
GIR
3 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1989 |
MAR
2 - 0
AEK
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
PSG
1 - 1
AUX
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1989 |
AUX
3 - 0
ROP
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
AUX
3 - 1
FCM
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
CAN
2 - 2
AUX
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1989 |
ROP
0 - 5
AUX
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |