Olympique Marseille vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
LHA
1 - 3
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
GIR
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
NIC
2 - 0
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MAR
0 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
REN
1 - 3
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
AJA
0 - 1
SOC
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
BAS
1 - 2
AJA
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
AJA
0 - 0
MPL
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TRO
1 - 0
AJA
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 0
SED
26%
26%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |