Olympique Marseille vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1973 |
MAR
3 - 1
STR
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
MET
2 - 0
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
MAR
3 - 1
REI
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
SOC
1 - 2
MAR
31%
26%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 2
ASN
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
PFC
3 - 1
AJA
48%
23%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
AJA
0 - 1
BAS
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
NAN
6 - 1
AJA
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 3
LYO
38%
29%
34%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |