Olympique Marseille vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
MAR
4 - 0
SOC
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
38%
27%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAN
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
RED
1 - 1
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
AJA
0 - 2
ASS
29%
22%
49%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAN
37%
22%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
SED
4 - 0
AJA
61%
20%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
AJA
0 - 2
SOC
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
GIR
5 - 0
AJA
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |