Olympique Marseille II vs Stade Beaucairois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
3º
22
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 56 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 42 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 42 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 42 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 38 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 92% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Marseille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 3
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 3
SAM
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 3
ESF
64%
18%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SCR
0 - 0
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIL
81%
13%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Beaucairois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LUC
3 - 3
BEA
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BEA
1 - 1
ESF
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEA
17%
20%
64%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BEA
1 - 0
OLY
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BEA
6 - 0
COR
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |