Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 4-1
Olympique Lyonnais vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LYO
0 - 2
REN
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
MPL
1 - 2
LYO
21%
22%
57%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
LYO
46%
23%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
GIR
3 - 1
LYO
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
LYO
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
ALA
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BET
2 - 1
VIL
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 2
RSO
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
LEV
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RMA
0 - 1
VIL
85%
11%
5%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |