Europa League Last 16
Global 5-3
Olympique Lyonnais vs Viktoria Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 2
LYO
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 0
MPL
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
LYO
1 - 0
CHO
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LIL
0 - 0
LYO
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
LYO
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
VKP
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VKP
3 - 2
ZNO
81%
14%
6%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 2
VKP
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 2
VKP
19%
24%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
VKP
1 - 1
SHA
43%
23%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |