Olympique Lyonnais vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
17º
5º
30
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 26 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19% | 1% |
|
Europa League
|
24% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
19% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LYO
0 - 2
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
REN
3 - 0
LYO
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
LYO
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 4
LYO
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LYO
0 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
REN
26%
24%
51%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
SCF
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KSC
4 - 1
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |