Champions League Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 1-4
Olympique Lyonnais vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
LYO
4 - 0
ASN
69%
20%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 4
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LYO
0 - 0
GIR
47%
25%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
LYO
21%
24%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 0
LYO
20%
25%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 0
LEV
90%
7%
3%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
RMA
15%
22%
63%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
RMA
4 - 1
RSO
90%
8%
3%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
75%
15%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
OSA
1 - 0
RMA
10%
20%
70%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |