Olympique Lyonnais vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
6º
18º
6º
41
4º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
LYO
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CRY
2 - 0
LYO
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
1 - 0
LYO
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
RWD
1 - 0
LYO
23%
22%
56%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
MUD
1 - 0
LYO
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MPL
2 - 2
LHA
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
MPL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
MPL
2 - 1
OLY
88%
9%
3%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
CLE
1 - 1
MPL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NIC
1 - 0
MPL
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |