Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Olympique Lyonnais vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
70.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1964 |
LYO
1 - 1
STR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
LYO
1 - 1
NAN
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
HSV
1 - 1
LYO
91%
6%
3%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
LYO
4 - 1
REN
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
ASS
2 - 1
LYO
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
EBT
2 - 1
HSV
10%
15%
75%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
MUN
9 - 2
HSV
19%
19%
63%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
HSV
1 - 1
LYO
91%
6%
3%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
HER
1 - 2
HSV
9%
13%
78%
|
91 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
HSV
3 - 1
S04
84%
10%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | +1 |