Champions League Fase Final Last 16
Global 3-6
Olympique Lyonnais vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 2
LYO
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LYO
3 - 1
LHA
77%
16%
8%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 3
LYO
23%
26%
51%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 2
ESP
80%
14%
7%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BET
2 - 2
FCB
16%
22%
63%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
84%
12%
5%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
FCB
2 - 0
MLL
78%
15%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 2
FCB
19%
23%
58%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |