Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 11-2
Olympique Lyonnais vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LYO
4 - 2
DIJ
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 4
LYO
34%
24%
42%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 1
LYO
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LYO
4 - 0
ASN
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 0
LYO
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 4
LYO
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
AZA
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AZA
2 - 4
PSV
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |