Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-1
Olympique Lyonnais vs Aris Bonnevoie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1967 |
MET
3 - 1
LYO
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1967 |
LYO
1 - 2
MON
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ABO
0 - 3
LYO
30%
22%
49%
|
72 | 17 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
SOC
3 - 1
LYO
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
LYO
8 - 0
ANG
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Bonnevoie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ABO
0 - 3
LYO
30%
22%
49%
|
17 | 72 | 55 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1966 |
LIN
6 - 1
ABO
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 72 | 55 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1966 |
ABO
3 - 3
LIN
29%
21%
50%
|
17 | 72 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
SLB
5 - 1
ABO
94%
4%
2%
|
17 | 89 | 72 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
ABO
1 - 5
SLB
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 89 | 72 | 0 |