Olympique Lyonnais II vs Espaly-Saint-Marcel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+118%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
12º
6º
38
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FEU
0 - 1
OLY
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
CDE
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAE
4 - 2
OLY
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 5
SAI
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAU
1 - 2
OLY
23%
22%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Espaly-Saint-Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 1
LIM
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
ESM
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEU
0 - 0
ESM
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 1
CDE
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 2
SAI
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |