Olympique de Valence vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
76%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
OVA
0 - 3
BEA
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |