Olympique de Valence vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
52.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
13º
12º
41
1º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 2
SAI
20%
23%
56%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OVA
5 - 0
VAU
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OVA
3 - 2
HAL
36%
23%
40%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 0
OVA
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
OVA
3 - 0
CHA
18%
21%
60%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +5 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAE
2 - 2
CLE
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
SAE
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAE
3 - 0
AIN
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LYO
3 - 1
SAE
73%
18%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAE
4 - 2
OLY
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |