Olympique de Valence vs Olympique Lyonnais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
80.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
13º
12º
38
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 0
OVA
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
OVA
0 - 1
PFC
6%
14%
80%
|
15 | 62 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
OVA
3 - 1
THO
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | +6 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
OVA
0 - 3
BEA
7%
12%
81%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 3
CLE
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
OLY
2 - 3
FRE
30%
27%
43%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CRF
1 - 0
OLY
43%
27%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 2
MGG
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 2
OLY
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |